ES NQ GC SI | Weekly Plan + Key Levels | 2.22.26 | NVDA Earnings + PPI

Feb 23, 2026

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I use Fibonacci sequences as the core of my analysis, combining mechanical levels with contextual zones drawn from auction theory.

Mechanical levels help me map out potential support, resistance, and distribution zones so you can see where I expect buyers or sellers to step in

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- blue = potential discount zones (support),
- purple = “line in the sand” levels I expect price to defend
- red = premium zones (resistance / distribution)

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No red folder news Mon/Tues/Weds
Tues
- We do have Trump on the mic, if you are not aware he did announce global tariffs of first 10%, now 15%. No clue what he will say but i’m sure we will have some risk off / hedging going into that.
- I would keep an eye on the VIX or VX
Thu
- Unemployment claims
- **** Tokyo Core CPI
  - This will affect BOJ rates.
  - I do believe whether or not BOJ decides to pause or hike rates will have a potential to affect the markets
Friday
- PPI

Video Analysis can be found here.

ES NQ | Video Analysis | 2.22.26

Feb 23

Weekly newsletter will be out shortly

We have been consolidating inside of this multi week balance
- Right now you have to consider neither side is winning
  - » shorts are frustrated and so are longs
- So until one side breaks, know where the extremes of the range are and be cautious for mean reversions as we rotate up into those levels.
With the new “global tariffs” announced over the weekend its hard to really pin down where the market wants to go— if they want to risk off or not
Lookin at the VIX / VX

Not exactly in chill mode you know what I mean— we are kind of hovering around this $20 level.

What I’m watching for this week

For starters — I will want to see what the overnight positioning looks like
- Whether net long / net short — and what /VX looks like going into RTH open
6884
- Whether we hold above this — or break below
- Break below
  - retest for downside support
  - 6858 | 6840
- Maintain above
  - test for overhead supply
  - 6947 | 6957 | 7009 7017
LIS - 6840
- Break and hold below
- Downside targets
  - 6819 | 6781 | 6748 | 6682

Brief Recap

What i’m watching for this week

NVDA 0.00%↑ earnings will have that potential to increase vol, we can anticipate some potential hedging going into that.
Basically the same as ES — We are starting to sell off at globex open, so we will see how the overnight action goes.

Recap

We did spend last week consolidating in GC and SI, followed by what appears to be an exhaustion of inventory/supply at this level.
Looks like we are reacting to the news over the weekend for global tariffs and we are having a break of balance to the upside.

What i’m watching for this week

Overhead supply as we rotate up into these premium levels above. Potential continuation of this sequence to the upside if we are able to maintain above prior weeks consolidation range.

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