ES NQ | Market Analysis and Levels | 9.18.25 | Quarterly OPEX

We do have quarterly opex going into tomorrow, so you can anticipate increased volatility. We also have thin volume and kinda poor structure.

For new subscribers—

I use Fibonacci Sequences as the core of my analysis. I do implement both mechanical and contextual levels (from market profiles) in my analysis. I typically use mechanical levels to identify potential areas of support/distribution.

If you do enjoy my posts and want to support it by liking it, that is greatly appreciated!

Just a quick note—

I color code just so they are easier to read and understand, since there are alot levels with fibs.

• Blue - discount zones (support levels)

• Purple - zones I’m looking for price to defend, (line in the sand)

• Red - premium zones (resistance / distribution zones)

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I go over a bit of analysis in ES and NQ to start, then end with building a trade thesis to capture some higher RR trades.

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Higher time frame sequence

Shorter time frame series

Going into tomorrow

Woooo a little bit more range to work with.

So going into tomorrow
(THERE IS A RISK FOR POTENTIAL VOLATILITY TOMORROW w QUARTERLY OPEX )

• My line in the sand will be 6651

  • Holding above will target

    • 6703 | 6711 » with potential to retest support at 6664

• Break above 6711 invalidates current short sequence

  • Break above will target

    • 6728 | 6743

• Failure for bulls to defend 6651

  • Break below will target

    • 6644 | 6633 | 6602 | 6589

Remember it’s ok to SIZE DOWN the stock market isnt going to the Bahamas next week. We have thin volume, so price has the potential to MOVE FAST.

This is not a time to be chasing longs and shorts.

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Thanks for reading! Trade safe!