ES NQ | Profiles and Positioning | FOMC BOJ Rollover Opex

Jeez, loaded week, lots of news on the schedule in conjuction with contract rollover, vixperation, and opex

For new subscribers—

I use Fibonacci sequences as the core of my analysis, combining mechanical levels with contextual zones drawn from auction theory.

Mechanical levels help me map out potential support, resistance, and distribution zones so you can see where I expect buyers or sellers to step in

• I color‑code these levels so they’re easier to follow on your charts:

  • blue = potential discount zones (support),

  • purple = “line in the sand” levels I expect price to defend

  • red = premium zones (resistance / distribution)

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News for the week

• Big ones here being FOMC and BOJ

  • BOJ seems to be the wild card to me tbh

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It is rollover week!!! you are going to want to make sure you are on the CORRECT front month contract typically there is enough liquidity/volume to roll earlier in the week.

• If you are charting, just double check youre charting on the correct front month

We also have vixperation and quarterly opex this week.

• So there will probably be an interesting combo of repositioning, and positioning (hedging) going into this fed meeting.

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Earnings for the week

• OKLO 0.00%↑ MU 0.00%↑ GEMI 0.00%↑ are prob the big ones i see

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Video Analysis for Paid Subscribers

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ES / $SPX / SPY 0.00%↑

I’m going to be honest, the tradable range last week kind of sucked. I did trade everyday last week except Monday I think, but I really just want to get in and get out. I had very very conservative targes of probably 10-15 pts in ES

It’s not always about whether we’re up or down — the most important thing for intraday trading is the tradable range. So Monday we had some good opportunity thru Tuesday afternoon— but failed to see a continuation to the upside.

Then after tuseday we start the chop chop chop

• This is where I always say choose youre battles, sometimes the best thing is to walk away

• If you take too many stops while range is compressing, and we dont have any break outs, its almost impossible to make up for it

  • you just end up getting frustrated and digging yourself into a deeper whole. Walking away with a small loss is ok.

  • It is a skill not to get into the “make it back” mode.

What I’m watching for this week

I AM ON THE M FRONT MONTH

• Overhead supply

  • 6734 | 6759 | 6795 | 6856

• Rollover gap 6620-6656

• Downside Targets

  • 6678| 6620 | 6576

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NQ $NDX QQQ 0.00%↑

Im going to keep it short— super tired I been traveling all day after getting diverted overnight in SLC, so i’ll probably have a better post tomorrow.

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