ES Profiles and Positioning | 09.08.25 | No News Monday

We have a big week ahead of us with CPI, PPI, 10y 30y Bond Auctions. We also have revisions Tuesday.

Sep 08, 2025

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I use Fibonacci Sequences as the core of my analysis. I do implement both mechanical and contextual levels (from market profiles) in my analysis. I typically use mechanical levels to identify potential areas of support/distribution.

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Just a quick note—

I color code just so they are easier to read and understand, since there are alot levels with fibs.

Blue - discount zones (support levels)
Purple - zones I’m looking for price to defend, (line in the sand)
Red - premium zones (resistance / distribution zones)

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I also did an article covering commodities that can be found here

Diving Deeper -- GC | SI | CL | NVDA | ZB | ZN

Market Mommy

September 8, 2025

Read full story

News for this week

We have a no news Monday, you can expect positioning and balancing for this day typically. Dont get chopped up trying to force trades
Tuesday - We dont have any red folder, but we do have revisions. Keep that in mind
Wednesday - we have PPI, crude oil inventories, and 10 yr bond auctions
- These are not red folder, but can still move contracts
Thursday — we have the big ones CPI and Unemployment claims.
- Natty Gas storage, and 30 yr bond auction — even though these are not red folders they still affect certain contracts.
Friday we have consumer sentiment / inflation expectations
- This will be important as we approach fed meeting.

Earnings

I got eyes on
- ORCL 0.00%↑
  - AI related
- VNCE 0.00%↑ VRA 0.00%↑
  - Consumer discretionary will show us if people are tightening / loosening spending
- KR 0.00%↑
  - People cut out excess food and focus on staples when times are tough

Review of Last Week

We did have one clean move at 6396 coming out of that low.

Thursday — we had a slow death of the Iron condor guys premiums guy as they bled out.
As you see we come up into the premium levels, and you know why I say be careful chasing into these zones, and keep an eye on the VIX
Friday — NFP was a huge miss — which wasn’t that shocking for me, considering the amount of revisions we had last month.
- We also have revisions on Tuesday
- Now you also see why in my plan Friday I had included a section for— if it is a miss. I’m not going to just always assume we will blast off on an NFP print.
We have reclaimed that 6475, looks like that level for whatever reason has been a strong LIS

Going into the week

I might need to think a little more about this week, i’ll have a better analysis probably tomorrow once I see dealer positioning

There is alot of it depends this weeks, red folder news prints, potential rate cuts, bond auctions, deteriorating labor market, stagflation potential.