ES Profiles and Positioning | 09.10.25 | CPI will we see new ATH ?

New ATH for SPX and ES today -- will CPI print give us the fuel to push higher?

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For those who are new,

I use Fibonacci Sequences as the core of my analysis. I do implement both mechanical and contextual levels (from market profiles) in my analysis. I typically use mechanical levels to identify potential areas of support/distribution.

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Just a quick note—

I color code just so they are easier to read and understand, since there are alot levels with fibs.

• Blue - discount zones (support levels)

• Purple - zones I’m looking for price to defend, (line in the sand)

• Red - premium zones (resistance / distribution zones)

New for tomorrow

So I am going to add this video going over todays session and what i’m looking for going into tomorrow. I am getting a little bit of wrist pain so I need to take a chill pill w the keyboad.

I go over ES YM and NQ — SPX and VIX a little bit

Going into tomorrow

Market profiles

ES Levels RTH only.

What I’m looking for

• Break and hold above 6549 for invalidation of this current sequence and potential continuation higher. With velocity and volume to support the continuation

  • Upside targets 6556 | 6568 | 6588

• Potential retest of downside support at 6526 | 6519 | 6503

  • Break below 6503, SOH (sit on hands for longs) and wait for confirmation.

  • Downside targets 6486 | 6459 | 6450 | 6418

• We have CPI tomorrow so who knows what is going to happen.

  • I dont just assume the print is going to solicit a blast off to the moon, I just anticipate potential increase in volatility and prepare for both outcomes.

  • Trade with the market, not against it.

• Wait for confirmation and lean in with strength, do not try to catch the falling knife.

  • As I say when we start getting into those red zones, you just want to be cautious chasing longs, because these areas do carry a potential for distribution. — Likewise with the blue zones — you dont want to be chasing shorts into discount zones.

  Anyways, be safe tomorrow, dont forget about the news print (been there) and dont forget to pay attention to the VIX

Levels

LIS
Break and hold above 6549
Break and hold below 6503

Downside targets
6526 | 6519 | 6503
6486 | 6459 | 6450 | 6418

Upside targets
6556 | 6568 | 6588

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