ES Weekly Profiles and Positioning | 12.7.25 | Will the Fed Cut Rates?
Big weak ahead of us -- We have JOLTS this week and Fed rates
For new subscribers—
I use Fibonacci Sequences as the core of my analysis. I do implement both mechanical and contextual levels (from market profiles) in my analysis. I typically use mechanical levels to identify potential areas of support/distribution.
If you do enjoy my posts and want to support it by liking it, that is greatly appreciated!
Just a quick note—
I color code just so they are easier to read and understand, since there are alot levels with fibs.
Blue - potential discount zones (support levels)
Purple - zones I’m looking for price to defend, (line in the sand)
Red - premium zones (resistance / distribution zones)
News Prints this week
Big week for news prints — JOLTS and Fed Rate cuts
Alright guys — this is going to be a short post, my fam is still in town and it is my birthday this week. They leave Sunday, so I will be on my computer more starting next week.
ES
We are coming out of this multiday balance — price is starting to creep higher.
The market is storing energy for a move, will it be up ? will it be down? No one really knows. If you look market is expecting a .25 cut.
I like to look at all the indices, not just ES/NQ.
RTY already have a break out of balance, ahead of interest rates this Wednesday.
Do they know something or are they trying to front run?
Who knows — I just acknowledge the anomoly.
I wish I had more to give you guys but until we have a break out of balance there really isnt much to do. Same levels as last week pretty much.
I am expecting potential chop Mon, you never know, but with no major news prints, we can anticipate some hedges to be put on ahead of red folder events this week.
Tuesday we have Sept and Oct Jolts it looks like.
Could this effect FOMC Wednedsay? Who knows.
My advice for this week is know where the balance area is, and do not fight a break out of balance.
For ES 6830 - 6865
As we come up and retest these highs, monitor for exhaustion —
Are sellers starting to unload inventory?
Are we staying bid? Or do we need to restest downside support?
If we break out of balance to the upside, we will retest 6950 for overhead supply, since it has yet to be retested.
Thats all I got— Trade safe this week yall!
I try to post daily in my chat — but been a bit tied up last few weeks.
