Iran is burning — don't panic, get positioned
Chaos creates opportunity. Here's where I'm looking for next week.
For new subscribers—
I use Fibonacci sequences as the core of my analysis, combining mechanical levels with contextual zones drawn from auction theory.
Mechanical levels help me map out potential support, resistance, and distribution zones so you can see where I expect buyers or sellers to step in
I color‑code these levels so they’re easier to follow on your charts:
blue = potential discount zones (support),
purple = “line in the sand” levels I expect price to defend
red = premium zones (resistance / distribution)
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Due to the situation in Iran that happened over the weekend, I will be doing an additional newsletter today for premium subscribers diving deeper into Commodities like GC SI CL as well as Nikkei, I will most likely be looking for some trades in Nikkei
Keep an eye out I will be publishing it in a separate post later ( aka when I finish it)
News prints for the week US
JPY — I have been keeping an eye on JPY prints, and I think there is more correlation than I previously thought.
We have BOJ Gov on the mic monday at 10pm CST
BOJ monetary policy is Wed Mar 18 as of now.
This is the big one for the whole month I will be going more in depth about it in my post for
Earnings for the week
ES / $SPX / SPY 0.00%↑
Brief recap
We had some pretty ugly profiles last week im not going to lie.
I want you to look at the yellow bars, this is the initial balance
Note how wide the initial balance and what % of the range for the day it occupies.
When you see a wider initial balance like this it represents higher volatility, and you will notice that alot of those breakouts / range extensions fail to see continuation
if you struggled in February dont feel bad, we spent the majority of time inside of this range,
It means there is MORE balance
We get paid from exploiting IMBALANCE
Here is a composite of ES
Rotation up into where those singles prints were (green) was met with seller distribution of overhead supply.
We rejected and rotated back down to the bottom of the range
But we didnt have that follow through to retest the extreme of the range
And now this is where dealer GEX comes into play because you better believe they will fight for their life to pin that price so they can buy mama a new pair of shoes.
What I’m watching for this week
Potential increase in vol means that we might see increased ranges and higher timeframe levels come into play
This means you should be monitoring ATR and !!!!!!!!! SIZE DOWN TO ACCOMODATE FOR EXPANDED RANGES !!!!!!!!!
I have TradingView ATR studies available for this reason !!
You will get chopped to death if you are not sizing correctly. Micros can trade like minis in range expanded markets.
https://whop.com/staysalti Studies can be found here
All of my tradingview studies are included w paid substack subscription btw
Obviously this can always go either way
Trade it dont date it, dont fight the trend, know where major support and resistance levels are.
Key levels
Potential overhead supply / upside targets
6879 - 6899 | 6927 - 6956| 6995 | 7027
Potential downside support / downside targets
6800 | 6774 | 6746 | 6709 | 6645 | 6522 | 6453
LIS
6677
6997
NQ $NDX QQQ 0.00%↑
purple levels mean watch for reaction
acceptance / rejections
here you can combine with another strategy to take potential trades — dont fight the trend, dont try to catch the knife. Look for a strong sequence to form.
moving average cross over
order flow etc
As you can see I have it market the danger zone, so be careful
What i’m watching for this week
We held this short sequence off of Wednesdays high, looking for potential
completion of those downside targets followed by a potential mean reversion near those downside major support levels
Again you literally never know.
I just know where my levels are and where they are invalidated.
NQ already trades a (fast) wider spread as it is, so with increased volatility dealers can pull some of their bids/offers leading to a wider and more volatile spread
This is your reminder that SL are pending MARKET ORDERS if price skips over your SL sometimes it will slip REALLY BAD please keep this in mind when trading volatile markets.
Thanks for readin SaltStack.
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AVGO 0.00%↑ CRDO 0.00%↑ CRWD 0.00%↑ RIOT 0.00%↑ $BRK.B (Saturday) RGTI 0.00%↑ NCLH 0.00%↑ BBAI 0.00%↑ MRVL 0.00%↑ VEEV 0.00%↑ MDB 0.00%↑ COST 0.00%↑ XERS 0.00%↑ PLU 0.00%↑ OKTA 0.00%↑ CI 0.00%↑ AMPX 0.00%↑ AES 0.00%↑ ASTS 0.00%↑ TGT 0.00%↑ ACHR 0.00%↑ AES 0.00%↑ ASTS 0.00%↑ TGT 0.00%↑ ACHR 0.00%↑ QUBT 0.00%↑ BBY 0.00%↑ OOMA 0.00%↑ KR 0.00%↑ SE 0.00%↑ OUST 0.00%↑ AEO 0.00%↑ ANF 0.00%↑ BULL 0.00%↑ CRC 0.00%↑ CGEN 0.00%↑ DAVE 0.00%↑ JD 0.00%↑ LIF 0.00%↑ DY 0.00%↑ GTLB 0.00%↑ IOT 0.00%↑ AAON 0.00%↑ ADT 0.00%↑ LQDA 0.00%↑ ASTH 0.00%↑ QURE 0.00%↑ SEE 0.00%↑ ZYME 0.00%↑