Weekly Market Outlook ES NQ CL: NFP Week Meets Post-FOMC Drift

Five red folders this week — the tape will tell us if the sequence holds Key support in focus as ISM, JOLTS, ADP, Claims, and NFP hit the tape

For new subscribers—

I use Fibonacci sequences as the core of my analysis, combining mechanical levels with contextual zones drawn from auction theory.

Mechanical levels help me map out potential support, resistance, and distribution zones so you can see where I expect buyers or sellers to step in

• I color‑code these levels so they’re easier to follow on your charts:

  • blue = potential discount zones (support),

  • purple = “line in the sand” levels I expect price to defend

  • red = premium zones (resistance / distribution)

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News for the week

• big ones for the week are JOLTS and NFP

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What I’m watching for

• I want to see if we hold this 7250s as downside support this sequence targets above at 7324

• Potential overhead supply

  • as we come in to retest that ATH at 7300

• Downside support below

  • 7250 -7238

  • 7221 - 7200

• LIS

  • 7170

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NQ was forming balance up here prior to Fridays close.

• Looking for potential downside support

  • 27706 - 27622

  • 27513 - 27420

  • 27331

• Potential Overhead Supply

  • 2800 | 28095 | 28198

• LIS

  • 27150

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We did technically hold this sequence in crude. If you look it is actually just one giant balance area forming here.

What im watching for:

• how price reacts as we approach these key levels near VAH and VAL

• This can also be a headline driven market, so it is sensitive to news about the strait of hormuz

  • downside targets for crude ar 93, 85 76 and 69

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